Gold rises for eighth day as euro crisis worsens

LONDON: Gold rose for an eighth day on Wednesday, set for its longest stretch of gains in nearly five years and trading less than half a percent off record highs after European leaders mulled the option of a Greek default and Ireland's credit rating was cut to junk.

European Union leaders will hold an emergency meeting on Friday after finance ministers acknowledged for the first time that some form of Greek default may be needed to cut Athens' debts and stop contagion spreading to Italy and Spain .

The euro held around four-month lows against the dollar, although risk-averse investors took a breather in their recent battering of the stocks and bonds from more indebted euro zone nations such as Italy, Portugal and Spain.

Surprisingly strong Chinese growth data supported industrial commodities and broader equity markets, keeping the dollar under pressure and giving gold, which usually moves inversely to the U.S. currency, an additional boost.

Spot gold was up 0.4 percent on the day at $1,570.66 an ounce by 0850 GMT, having risen in the last seven sessions and set for an eighth day of gains and a gain of 5.9 percent, something it has not achieved since mid-October 2006, when it rose for nine days in a row.

COMEX August gold futures were last up 0.6 percent at $1,571.70 an ounce.

"It's a pretty well-trodden safe-haven story. While the issue has been bubbling away, it hadn't been acute enough to drive people into the strongest safe-haven. That situation has clearly changed in the last couple of days," said RBS analyst Daniel Major.

"In the last few days, risk-aversion has been strong enough to offset the strength in the dollar, but it will really depend on how the macro events pan out as to whether gold can be carried higher or not," he said.

ETF HOLDINGS RISE

Reflecting the heightened investor demand for metal, global holdings of gold in exchange-traded products witnessed their largest daily inflow since early April, driven by a hefty rise in holdings of metal in the SPDR Gold Trust , the world's largest gold-backed ETF.

For the first time since early May, total gold holdings are showing a net inflow so far this year following a 20-tonne inflow into SPDR and a 0.1-tonne rise in ETF Securities' London-listed gold funds.

Gold Silver Ratio - News


The week's top 10 stories, July 18 - 22
The week's top 10 stories, July 18 - 22

Silver's recent climb has significantly outpaced gains made by gold. But a closely watched ratio based on the two prices suggests silver has even more catching up to do, analysts say. The so-called gold-to-silver ratio, the price of gold divided by the



How to make sense of the gold-to-silver ratio
How to make sense of the gold-to-silver ratio

But a closely watched ratio based on the two prices suggests silver has even more catching up to do, analysts say. The so-called gold-to-silver ratio, the price of gold divided by the price of silver, currently stands at 39.8 to 1.



Where Next for Silver?
Where Next for Silver?

Speculators thought a bonanza was at hand, what with silver supply from mines and scrap sales growing only slowly, on average 2% and 4% respectively. And that bonanza existed for a while, but reality kicked in as the gold-silver ratio pushed 31.



Gold rises for eighth day as euro crisis worsens
Gold rises for eighth day as euro crisis worsens

Spot silver was last up 1.3 percent on the day at $36.50 an ounce, bringing the gold/silver ratio -- the number of ounces of silver needed to buy one ounce of gold -- to 43.06 from 43.46 on Tuesday. Palladium , which depends largely on the Chinese car



Gold and Silver Picking Up Steam Relative To Stocks (GLD, SLV, SPY, DBC)

While gold (NYSE:GLD) and silver (NYSE:SLV) are often grouped together in investment discussions, gold has more of an Armageddon appeal and silver has more of an industrial appeal. Generally, when the gold/silver ratio is rising, it signals higher




Gold/Silver ratio — on its way to 50 to 1? | PeterLBrandt

Resistance is at 46, then 50. Gold could advance to $1650 with Silver dropping to $33

Silver bulls all sing from the same hymnal. One of the songs they sing insists on a Gold/Silver ratio of 20 to 1. After all, the song goes, the ratio was set by the Spanish at 15-1/2 to 1 in the 1500s, traded at about 28 to 1 when, in March 1964, the U.S. Treasury stopped issuing Silver Certificates, and was “set” at 18 to 1 when President Nixon officially announced that the U.S. would no longer redeem U.S. Dollars for Silver or Gold.

So, the Silver bulls claim, a Gold price of $1,550 would equate to a Silver price of $77.50. The only problem is that the non-Silver-bull world does not know the song .

The chart below displays the Gold/Silver ratio for the past 110 — sorry, Silver bulls, but the ratio does not extend back to the Spanish Gold Age of Global Expansion.

It is all well and good that the King of Spain set the Gold/Silver ratio at 15-1/2 to 1 in the 1500s, but the free market has a different idea. As the chart above shows, a Gold/Silver ratio less than 30 is a rare occurance. The trendline for the ratio presently is about 60 to 1.

The chart below shows the ratio dating back to the mid 1970s. This chart shows that Silver is in a bull trend against Gold, and after reaching 31.7 to 1 on April 28 the ratio has moved back to its present value of 43.4 to 1. The monthly chart shows resistance in the zone of about 46 to 1 to 50 to 1.

I am presently constructive on Gold. I will be more constructive if Gold closes above 1565. I will abandon a bullish stance on Gold if prices close below 1470.

Assuming that Gold trades to $1,700 and the Gold/Silver ratio returns to 50 to 1 — this means that Silver prices could drop slightly to $34 despite strength in Gold.

Of course, Silver bulls will insist that Gold cannot advance without a bull move in Silver. But, does history support this thesis.

From February 1998 through March 2008, Gold prices advanced from $300 to $975 without a change in the Gold/Silver ratio. Gold declined from the March 2008 high at $975 down to $725 by November of 2008. During the decline the Gold/Silver ratio exploded to 1 to 80 to 1.

I would change my mind on the Gold/Silver ratio if Silver closes above $39. Such a close would indicate that the ratio could move back into the low 30 to 1 region.


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BootBoi Gold = $1,600.83 Silver = $40.03 G:S Ratio = 39.99 Silver's Downward Potential Is Dwarfed & Nullified By Invariable Upward Momentum..-~


DailyResourceHunter Matt Insley featured in- How to make sense of the gold-to-silver ratio Market Extra - MarketWatch via @


Laurance Marvin Silver is thru the $40 level...that over 3% on the day. Silver Gold price ratio historically is 1 to 10 ! So $160 is possible long term !


BillyAkerman #gold #silver


Silver & Ammo Using the #Gold/Silver Ratio to guide your precious metals purchases: gold #silver


Gold Silver Ratio - Bookshelf

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